The article discusses the potential consequences of lifting sanctions on Russia, particularly if former US President Donald Trump were to broker a deal with Saudi Arabia to reduce oil prices and alleviate economic pressure on Russia. The authors argue that lifting sanctions would allow Russia to expand its revenue streams again, which could bolster their economy and war machine, potentially leading to further aggression against Ukraine.
The article mentions several potential consequences of lifting sanctions:
1. Eroding unity among Ukrainian allies: If the US is seen as regaining access to Russia’s market while Europeans keep their sanctions in place, it may create tension within Europe and embolden anti-Ukrainian factions.
2. Undermining European efforts: Lifting US sanctions would undermine European efforts to maintain economic pressure on Russia, potentially forcing the EU and UK to bear greater responsibility for sanction enforcement.
3. Emboldening Putin: If Russia is able to expand its revenue streams again, it may embolden Putin to continue his aggression against Ukraine without significant consequences.
The article also notes that Congress looks favorably upon sanctions as they are perceived as costing the US “nothing,” and that there is more support for sanctions within Congress than for allocating a budget to Ukraine’s defense.
