**EU Tariffs on Ukrainian Goods to Return After 3 Years of War, Complicating Kyiv’s Path to European Integration**
The European Union is set to reinstate tariffs on Ukrainian goods, a move that will complicate the country’s path to European integration. The tariffs were introduced in response to pressure from Eastern European countries, which have been seeking to appease their farmers’ lobby.
**What does this mean for Ukraine?**
Ukraine has become a closer trading partner with the EU since the full-scale invasion began. Over 60% of Ukraine’s exports now go to the EU, relative to about 40% before the war. The return of tariffs will pose challenges to Ukrainian exporters, who have adapted to trade with fewer tariffs.
**The impact on Ukrainian businesses**
Many Ukrainian businesses had made decisions based on the existing regime, and the return of tariffs will make it difficult for them to adjust. According to estimates, Ukraine may lose up to 1.1 billion euros ($1.2 billion) in foreign exchange earnings under the temporary measures, and 3.3 billion euros ($3.7 billion) next year if no agreement is reached.
**The role of Eastern European countries**
Eastern European countries have been instrumental in pushing for the reinstatement of tariffs. They have imposed bans on Ukrainian goods, including sunflower seeds and rapeseed, which were not subject to any barriers before the war. This move has complicated the situation further.
**Russian propaganda**
Experts believe that Russian propaganda may be playing a role in fueling fear among EU farmers about the impact of Ukrainian imports. Unsubstantiated claims are being made about depressed prices due to Ukrainian imports.
**The way forward for Ukraine and the EU**
As the tariffs return, it remains to be seen how Ukraine will navigate this new landscape. The country’s exporters will have to adapt to trade with more tariffs, while the EU will need to balance its domestic politics with its commitment to closer trade relations with Ukraine.
