**Poland’s Presidential Election: A Narrow Victory for Trzaskowski**
In a closely-watched election, Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski has been projected to win Poland’s presidential run-off on June 1. According to an exit poll by Ipsos, Trzaskowski of the ruling Civic Coalition (KO) secured 50.3% of the ballots, while his rival, Karol Nawrocki, a nationalist supported by the Law and Justice (PiS) party, garnered 49.7%.
This election has been seen as an important inflection point in Poland’s political trajectory, particularly with regards to its approach to Ukraine. Trzaskowski’s victory is significant not only because of his narrow win but also because of his stance on key issues such as NATO membership for Ukraine and the treatment of Ukrainian refugees.
**A Presidential Role Beyond Ceremonial Duties**
While Poland has a parliamentary system where the president’s role is largely ceremonial, the next president will still have important duties. The Polish president serves as commander-in-chief of the armed forces and plays a key role in foreign affairs. Historically, Polish presidents have been active in shaping eastern policy, making Trzaskowski’s victory particularly significant for Poland-Ukrainian relations.
**Disagreements on Ukraine and Social Issues**
Both candidates agreed on increasing defense spending and supporting Ukraine against Russia’s invasion but diverged on Ukraine’s potential NATO membership. Trzaskowski supported Ukraine joining NATO, while Nawrocki has been criticized for opposing Ukraine’s accession due to his perceived pro-Russian stance. The election also highlighted deep divides in Polish politics and society over social issues.
**A Win for Pro-Ukrainian Sentiment?**
While both candidates have taken positions targeting Ukrainian refugees, Trzaskowski’s victory may be seen as a win for pro-Ukrainian sentiment. However, it’s essential to note that Russian disinformation campaigns targeted the election, particularly amplifying anti-Ukrainian sentiment in Poland.
The official election results are expected on June 2, but based on the exit poll, Trzaskowski has declared victory, promising to be a president for all Poles and to bring people together. His narrow win sets him up to play an important role in Polish politics and foreign affairs, including shaping the country’s approach to Ukraine.
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