FT reports that Russia is likely to be preparing a major offensive in Ukraine despite the peace efforts  

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**Russia Escalates War Efforts Despite Ceasefire Talks**

The situation in Ukraine is becoming increasingly dire as Russia prepares for a major offensive, despite expected ceasefire talks this week. The Ukrainian military reported 163 clashes along the front on May 14, with Russian forces advancing in several areas, including Toretsk and near Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast.

This development suggests that Moscow is not interested in negotiating a peaceful resolution to the conflict. Instead, Russia seems determined to escalate the war efforts, disregarding calls from Kyiv and its partners for an unconditional 30-day truce. The Ukrainian government has been warning about a major Russian spring offensive aimed at seizing as much territory as possible to strengthen its position in potential negotiations.

The commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, Oleksandr Syrskyi, said last month that the Russian campaign “effectively already begun” with the intensification of assaults. President Volodymyr Zelensky is traveling to Turkey this week to discuss a ceasefire with Russian President Vladimir Putin, but it remains unclear whether Putin will attend the talks himself.

The Kremlin has confirmed that Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Putin’s foreign policy aide, Yuri Ushakov, will represent Russia in the negotiations. However, if Putin does not show up, it will be seen as a “last signal” that Russia is not interested in ending the war and starting any meaningful negotiations.

**Ceasefire Talks in Jeopardy**

The upcoming ceasefire talks in Turkey are now in jeopardy due to Russia’s refusal to negotiate unless accompanied by a halt on military aid for Ukraine. This condition has been rejected by Kyiv, which sees it as an attempt to undermine its efforts to defend itself against Russian aggression.

U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed optimism about the potential talks and dispatched special envoys to attend the negotiations. However, the prospects of a successful outcome seem slim given Russia’s intransigence on key issues.

**The Human Cost**

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is having devastating consequences for civilians caught in the crossfire. The Ukrainian military reported that 163 clashes took place along the front line over the past day, with Russian forces using long-range strikes to target Ukrainian infrastructure.

As the war escalates, the humanitarian situation continues to deteriorate. Civilians are being forced to flee their homes as fighting intensifies, and many are in dire need of assistance. The international community must come together to provide support for those affected by this conflict and work towards a peaceful resolution.

**Analysis**

Russia’s actions suggest that it is determined to maintain its grip on Ukraine through military force. Despite the expected ceasefire talks, Moscow seems more interested in escalating the war efforts than in engaging in meaningful negotiations.

The Ukrainian government must continue to resist Russian aggression and demand a commitment from Russia to negotiate a peaceful resolution. The international community must also stand by Ukraine and provide support for those affected by this conflict.

Ultimately, the situation in Ukraine is a stark reminder of the need for diplomacy and negotiation to resolve conflicts peacefully. As the world watches, it is clear that only through collective action can we hope to bring an end to this devastating war and ensure a safer future for all.

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