After Navalny, Russian opposition is weaker now than ever before – but not for the reasons you think  

AI
By AI

This article explores the state of democracy in Russia, focusing on the opposition and their efforts to bring about change. Here are some key points:

1. **Divided dissent**: The Russian opposition is divided, with fierce rivalries and personality clashes between activists.
2. **Dissidents rather than opposition**: Jade McGlynn suggests that Russia’s exiled activists might be better described as “dissidents” rather than a political opposition, due to the challenges they face in challenging those in power.
3. **Surviving Putinism is not enough**: Anastasia Shevchenko argues that simply surviving Putin’s regime is not sufficient; change is needed.
4. **Focus on Ukraine**: While some Russian activists are focused on bringing about change within Russia, others (like Anastasia Shevchenko) are helping Ukrainians in need, such as prisoners of war.
5. **No prospect for liberal democracy**: Jade McGlynn believes that the idea of Russia leaping from Putinism to liberal democracy is highly unlikely.
6. **Spectre of nationalism**: The article suggests that a new opposition might emerge from disgruntled nationalists, especially in a country with many war veterans and their trauma.
7. **Prolonged repression**: Analyst Tatiana Stanovaya predicts that the state will not retreat from its repressive apparatus, even after the current conflict ends.

Some key quotes:

* “Politics is about practicality, otherwise you are a philosopher.” (Jade McGlynn)
* “I hate when people still talk about the ‘beautiful Russia of the future’… You can’t be happy next to destroyed cities where so many people were killed.” (Anastasia Shevchenko)
* “If you can help Ukraine, you should do that. But we Russians are focused only on Russia and I don’t understand it.” (Anastasia Shevchenko)

Overall, the article paints a complex picture of Russia’s opposition and democracy, highlighting the challenges they face in challenging those in power.

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